UK Baseline · Source-led dataset
Data Index — Every Verified Statistic
Every figure published by UK Baseline, with its source. 9 briefs. 53 graphics.
UK Baseline exists to make the evidence trail as clear as the claim. This index brings every published statistic into one crawlable, citation-ready record: the figure, the plain-English description, the named source, and the source URL. We do not treat a graphic as a substitute for provenance — each number remains traceable to the evidence that supports it.
Brief 001
UK Migration — The Real Numbers
Read Brief 001 — UK Migration — The Real Numbers
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| 906,000 | Net migration peak — year to June 2023 | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 211,700 | Net migration — year to December 2025 | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 816,500 | Long-term international arrivals — year to December 2025 | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 246,000 | British nationals emigrating — year to December 2025 | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 47% | Share of long-term arrivals coming to study | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 23% | Share of long-term arrivals coming for work | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 14% | Share of long-term arrivals coming for asylum | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 728,000 | Non-EU net migration — year to June 2023 | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 77% | Share of net migration from outside the EU | ONS International Migration | Brief 001 |
| 406,824 | Student visas granted in 2023 | Home Office Immigration Statistics | Brief 001 |
| 86% | Fall in student dependant visa grants after the policy change | Home Office Immigration Statistics | Brief 001 |
| 29,437 | Small-boat arrivals in 2024 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 001 |
Brief 002
Birth Rates & Demographics — The Projections
Read Brief 002 — Birth Rates & Demographics — The Projections
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | UK total fertility rate in 2023 — record low | ONS Births Summary Tables | Brief 002 |
| 591,072 | UK births in 2023 — lowest total since 1977 | ONS Births Summary Tables | Brief 002 |
| 2.1 | Replacement fertility rate — demographic benchmark | United Nations Population Division | Brief 002 |
| 34% | Gap between the 1.39 total fertility rate and replacement level | ONS Births Summary Tables | Brief 002 |
| 2.93 | UK total fertility rate in 1964 | ONS Births Summary Tables | Brief 002 |
| 34.6% | Births in England and Wales to foreign-born mothers in 2025 | ONS Births Summary Tables | Brief 002 |
| 53.1% | White British share of annual births in 2025 | Centre for Social Justice | Brief 002 |
| 79.5% | White British share of state primary school pupils in 2003 | DfE School Census | Brief 002 |
| 59.8% | White British share of state primary school pupils in 2026 | DfE School Census | Brief 002 |
| July 2026 | Point from which deaths are projected to exceed births in England and Wales | ONS National Population Projections | Brief 002 |
| 450,000 | Projected excess of deaths over births in the decade to 2034 | ONS National Population Projections | Brief 002 |
| 3.5 → 2.0 | Projected workers per pensioner from today to 2075 | OBR Fiscal Risks and Sustainability | Brief 002 |
| +135% | Projected growth in the population aged 80 and over to 2075 | OBR Fiscal Risks and Sustainability | Brief 002 |
Brief 003
Andy Burnham — Path to No.10 & Connections
Read Brief 003 — Andy Burnham — Path to No.10 & Connections
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 July 2026 | Date Andy Burnham became Prime Minister | Reuters: Burnham cabinet announcement | Brief 003 |
| 10 weeks | Time between leaving Parliament and becoming Prime Minister | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 349 of 403 | Labour MPs nominating Burnham in an uncontested leadership | Reuters: Burnham cabinet announcement | Brief 003 |
| 1991 | Year of Cambridge English BA graduation at Fitzwilliam College | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 3 years | Private-sector career experience — as a trade journalist | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 7 years | Period working directly for senior Blair allies before winning a seat | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 1994–97 | Period working as researcher to Tessa Jowell | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 1998–2001 | Period working as Special Adviser to Chris Smith | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 5 | Distinct career phases from Cambridge graduate to Prime Minister | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
| 1st | First person in his family to attend university | GOV.UK: Andy Burnham | Brief 003 |
Brief 004
UK Public Spending — The Honest Numbers
Read Brief 004 — UK Public Spending — The Honest Numbers
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| £1,347bn | Total managed expenditure in 2025–26 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| 44.3% | Public spending as a share of GDP in 2025–26 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| £744.5bn | Total managed expenditure in 2010–11 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| 53.1% | Public spending as a share of GDP at the COVID-19 peak in 2020–21 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| £322.6bn | Social protection spending in 2025–26 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| £236.7bn | Health spending in 2025–26 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| £105.3bn | Debt-interest spending in 2025–26 | HM Treasury PESA 2025 | Brief 004 |
| 47% | Share of welfare spending going to the State Pension | OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook | Brief 004 |
| £136.6bn | State Pension spending | OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook | Brief 004 |
| 3.13 million | PIP claimants in 2024–25 | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 004 |
| £22.6bn | Working-age disability payments (DLA + PIP) | OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook | Brief 004 |
| £75.7bn | OBR full health and disability benefits total in 2024–25 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 004 |
| £90.9bn | Forecast full health and disability benefits total in 2028–29 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 004 |
Brief 005
The True Cost of a PIP Claim
Read Brief 005 — The True Cost of a PIP Claim
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| ~£13,225 | Estimated total state cost per PIP claimant per year | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
| ~£7,200 | Direct PIP payment alone per year | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
| 84% | Estimated full-cost premium over direct PIP payment alone | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
| 3.9 million | PIP claimants in January 2026 | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
| £40.6bn | Estimated full PIP-related cost in 2024–25 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 005 |
| ~£5.5bn | OBR-projected reform saving by 2030–31 | OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook | Brief 005 |
| £2.9bn | Estimated full PIP-related cost in 2014–15 | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
| £65.7bn | Projected full PIP-related cost in 2030–31 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 005 |
| 4.42 million | Forecast PIP/disability claimant caseload in 2030–31 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 005 |
| 68% | Caseload growth since 2014–15 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 005 |
| 41% | Forecast further caseload growth to 2030–31 | OBR Disability Benefits | Brief 005 |
| 39% | PIP claimants with a mental-health condition as their main condition | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
| 70% | New PIP claimants under 25 citing mental health as their primary condition | DWP PIP Official Statistics | Brief 005 |
Brief 006
The Size of the State
Read Brief 006 — The Size of the State
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| 524,000 | Civil service headcount in 2026 | Cabinet Office Civil Service Statistics | Brief 006 |
| 384,000 | Civil service headcount at the 2016 low | Cabinet Office Civil Service Statistics | Brief 006 |
| +36% | Civil service headcount growth since 2016 | Cabinet Office Civil Service Statistics | Brief 006 |
| ~1,378,000 | NHS workforce full-time equivalents in 2025 | NHS England Workforce Statistics | Brief 006 |
| ~950,000 | NHS workforce full-time equivalents in 2010 | NHS England Workforce Statistics | Brief 006 |
| +45% | NHS workforce FTE growth from 2010 to 2025 | NHS England Workforce Statistics | Brief 006 |
| −5.4% | NHS productivity gap versus pre-pandemic level in 2022–23 | ONS Public Service Productivity | Brief 006 |
| £2.8tn | Public sector net debt in 2024–25 | OBR Fiscal Risks and Sustainability | Brief 006 |
| £1.4tn | Unfunded public-sector pension liability outside the PSND headline | OBR Fiscal Risks and Sustainability | Brief 006 |
| ~150% | Combined debt and unfunded pension liability as a share of GDP | OBR Fiscal Risks and Sustainability | Brief 006 |
| Elevated | Public-sector employment share of the workforce versus the 2016 baseline | ONS Public Sector Employment | Brief 006 |
Brief 007
The Small Boats Claim
Read Brief 007 — The Small Boats Claim
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29,437 | Small-boat arrivals in 2024 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| 45,774 | Peak annual small-boat arrivals in 2022 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| 299 | Small-boat crossings in 2018 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| 8,466 | Small-boat crossings in 2020 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| ~£700m+ | Rwanda scheme cost with zero removals completed | National Audit Office: Rwanda Partnership | Brief 007 |
| ~560/year | Average UK returns under Dublin III, 2008–2020 | Home Office Dublin III statistics | Brief 007 |
| 7% | Success rate of outgoing UK Dublin requests | Home Office Dublin III statistics | Brief 007 |
| ~193,000 | Small-boat arrivals between 2018 and 2025 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| ~162,000 | Small-boat arrivals who applied for asylum, 2018–2025 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| 62% | Protection grant rate among small-boat asylum claims with a decision | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| ~8,427 | Small-boat arrivals returned between 2018 and 2025 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| 71% | Share of returns going to Albania under the bilateral deal | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
| ~4% | Small-boat arrivals ever returned, 2018–2025 | Home Office Irregular Migration Statistics | Brief 007 |
Brief 008
The Housing Crisis
Read Brief 008 — The Housing Crisis
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| ~£285,000 | Average UK house price in early 2026 | ONS House Price Statistics | Brief 008 |
| ~8× | National house-price-to-earnings ratio | ONS Housing Affordability | Brief 008 |
| ~12× | London house-price-to-earnings ratio | ONS Housing Affordability | Brief 008 |
| ~200,000 | Net new homes built in 2023–24 | MHCLG Net Additional Dwellings | Brief 008 |
| 300,000/year | Government housebuilding target | MHCLG Net Additional Dwellings | Brief 008 |
| 221,070 | Net additional dwellings in England in 2023–24 | MHCLG Net Additional Dwellings | Brief 008 |
| 234,400 | Highest recent annual net additional dwellings figure — 2022–23 | MHCLG Net Additional Dwellings | Brief 008 |
| 7.9× | England median house-price-to-earnings ratio in 2024 | ONS Housing Affordability | Brief 008 |
| 11.6× | London median house-price-to-earnings ratio in 2024 | ONS Housing Affordability | Brief 008 |
| £1,300/month | Average UK private rent in 2025 | ONS Private Rental Prices | Brief 008 |
| 1.96 million | Council homes sold under Right to Buy since 1980 | MHCLG Right to Buy statistics | Brief 008 |
| 126,040 | Households in temporary accommodation in September 2024 | MHCLG Homelessness Statistics | Brief 008 |
| Declining | Planning permissions trend from 2019 to 2024 | MHCLG Planning Applications | Brief 008 |
Brief 009
NHS Waiting Lists & Productivity
Read Brief 009 — NHS Waiting Lists & Productivity
| Figure | Statistic | Source | Brief |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.28 million | NHS RTT waiting-list pathways — May 2026 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 4.57 million | Pre-pandemic RTT waiting-list pathways — February 2020 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 7.77 million | Peak RTT waiting-list pathways — September 2023 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 65.6% | 18-week standard performance — May 2026 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 92% | 18-week RTT standard target | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 2015/16 | Last year the 18-week standard was met sustainably | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 104,734 | Patients waiting more than 52 weeks — May 2026 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 6,740 | Patients waiting more than 65 weeks — May 2026 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 177 | Patients waiting more than 104 weeks — May 2026 | NHS England RTT Statistics | Brief 009 |
| June 2013 | Last month the A&E four-hour standard was met | NHS England A&E Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 75.0% | All-type A&E four-hour performance — June 2026 | NHS England A&E Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 95% | A&E four-hour performance target | NHS England A&E Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 61.3% | Type 1 A&E four-hour performance — June 2026 | NHS England A&E Statistics | Brief 009 |
| −5.4% | NHS productivity gap versus pre-pandemic level — 2022/23 | ONS Public Service Productivity | Brief 009 |
| +45% | NHS workforce FTE growth from 2010 to 2025 | NHS England Workforce Statistics | Brief 009 |
| ~950,000 → ~1,378,000 | NHS workforce full-time equivalents from 2010 to 2025 | NHS England Workforce Statistics | Brief 009 |
| £3.46bn | Peak agency-staff spending — 2022/23 | NHS England Workforce Statistics | Brief 009 |
| 70.0% | Cancer 62-day standard performance — April 2026 | NHS England Cancer Waiting Times | Brief 009 |
| 85% | Cancer 62-day standard target | NHS England Cancer Waiting Times | Brief 009 |
| 10.9% | UK health spending as a share of GDP — 2024 | OECD Health at a Glance 2025 | Brief 009 |
| 9.3% | OECD average health spending as a share of GDP — 2024 | OECD Health at a Glance 2025 | Brief 009 |